All work
Varia Carbon
AI-powered soil organic carbon estimation from satellite and environmental data. Random Forest model trained on EU LUCAS 2018 (18,984 samples). R² = 0.78, MAE = 0.80% SOC. Validated on 70 real European soil samples. 90% cheaper than lab tests. Results in seconds, not weeks. Deploys on your own server. Full code included. One-time license. Limitations: Screening tool, not a lab replacement. Best for baseline estimation.
Client
Internal
Role
Product
Year
2026
Type
Soil Intelligence

VARIA Carbon
Soil organic carbon estimation in seconds, not weeks.
AI-powered estimation from satellite and environmental data. No lab. No field visit.
The Problem
Soil carbon measurement is broken.
Lab-based methods cost $30–50 per hectare and take weeks. That makes MRV (Monitoring, Reporting, Verification) economically impossible for smallholder farmers and large-scale carbon projects.
Most projects skip measurement entirely — because it's too expensive and too slow.
The Solution
VARIA Carbon predicts SOC% from five environmental variables using a machine learning model trained on the EU LUCAS 2018 Topsoil Database.
Inputs:
NDVI (Vegetation Index)
Annual Precipitation (mm/year)
Mean Annual Temperature (°C)
Elevation (m)
Clay Content (%)
Outputs:
SOC% (Soil Organic Carbon percentage)
Carbon credit potential (tons CO₂ per hectare)
Time: seconds per prediction.
The Model
Random Forest Regressor
150 trees
Max depth: 8
Training data: EU LUCAS 2018 (18,984 samples)
Validation: 70 real soil samples from Europe
Performance:
R² = 0.78
MAE = 0.80% SOC
RMSE = 1.02% SOC
5-fold cross-validation: 0.827 (±0.071)
No overfitting (train/test R² difference < 0.15)
Feature importance:
Clay: 28.6%
Elevation: 24.2%
Temperature: 18.9%
NDVI: 17.5%
Precipitation: 10.9%
Why It's Different
90% cheaper than lab tests.
Results in seconds, not weeks.
Deploys on your own server — data never leaves your organization.
Full code included. No black box.
One-time perpetual license. No subscriptions.
Comparison:
Feature | VARIA Carbon | Traditional Lab |
|---|---|---|
Cost/hectare | $5–10 | $30–50 |
Time | Seconds | Weeks |
Field visit | Not required | Required |
Deployment | On-premise | On-site |
Source code | Encrypted | No |
What It's Not
We believe in transparency.
VARIA Carbon is:
A screening tool for baseline estimation
A prioritization instrument for high-potential areas
A cost-effective alternative for early-stage projects
VARIA Carbon is NOT:
A replacement for lab-grade accuracy
A tool for final carbon credit issuance
A system for above-ground biomass or tree carbon
A solution that works in every environment without pilot calibration
Numbers are spatial validation averages. Not a per-region guarantee.
Who It's For
Carbon Project Developers — baseline estimation and cost-effective MRV
Agribusinesses — soil health monitoring
Sustainability Teams — Scope 3 reporting
Farmers and Land Managers — soil carbon screening
Researchers — preliminary soil carbon analysis
Pricing
Pilot Offer — $999
3 locations, 30 days.
100% money-back guarantee if not satisfied.
Deliverables: SOC% estimates, carbon credit estimates, baseline report.
Academic / Research — $499
Full code + model + 1 year updates.
Commercial / Business — $1,999
Encrypted code + model + priority support.
Deployment
Docker-based (one-command install)
On-premise (data never leaves your server)
Compiled application + encrypted model
Try the live demo: varia-carbon.vercel.app
Contact: mah.kzmi21@gmail.com

