All work

Varia Carbon

AI-powered soil organic carbon estimation from satellite and environmental data. Random Forest model trained on EU LUCAS 2018 (18,984 samples). R² = 0.78, MAE = 0.80% SOC. Validated on 70 real European soil samples. 90% cheaper than lab tests. Results in seconds, not weeks. Deploys on your own server. Full code included. One-time license. Limitations: Screening tool, not a lab replacement. Best for baseline estimation.

Client

Internal

Role

Product

Year

2026

Type

Soil Intelligence

VARIA Carbon

Soil organic carbon estimation in seconds, not weeks.

AI-powered estimation from satellite and environmental data. No lab. No field visit.

The Problem

Soil carbon measurement is broken.

Lab-based methods cost $30–50 per hectare and take weeks. That makes MRV (Monitoring, Reporting, Verification) economically impossible for smallholder farmers and large-scale carbon projects.

Most projects skip measurement entirely — because it's too expensive and too slow.

The Solution

VARIA Carbon predicts SOC% from five environmental variables using a machine learning model trained on the EU LUCAS 2018 Topsoil Database.

Inputs:

  • NDVI (Vegetation Index)

  • Annual Precipitation (mm/year)

  • Mean Annual Temperature (°C)

  • Elevation (m)

  • Clay Content (%)

Outputs:

  • SOC% (Soil Organic Carbon percentage)

  • Carbon credit potential (tons CO₂ per hectare)

Time: seconds per prediction.

The Model

Random Forest Regressor

  • 150 trees

  • Max depth: 8

  • Training data: EU LUCAS 2018 (18,984 samples)

  • Validation: 70 real soil samples from Europe

Performance:

  • R² = 0.78

  • MAE = 0.80% SOC

  • RMSE = 1.02% SOC

  • 5-fold cross-validation: 0.827 (±0.071)

  • No overfitting (train/test R² difference < 0.15)

Feature importance:

  • Clay: 28.6%

  • Elevation: 24.2%

  • Temperature: 18.9%

  • NDVI: 17.5%

  • Precipitation: 10.9%

Why It's Different

90% cheaper than lab tests.
Results in seconds, not weeks.
Deploys on your own server — data never leaves your organization.
Full code included. No black box.
One-time perpetual license. No subscriptions.

Comparison:

Feature

VARIA Carbon

Traditional Lab

Cost/hectare

$5–10

$30–50

Time

Seconds

Weeks

Field visit

Not required

Required

Deployment

On-premise

On-site

Source code

Encrypted

No

What It's Not

We believe in transparency.

VARIA Carbon is:

  • A screening tool for baseline estimation

  • A prioritization instrument for high-potential areas

  • A cost-effective alternative for early-stage projects

VARIA Carbon is NOT:

  • A replacement for lab-grade accuracy

  • A tool for final carbon credit issuance

  • A system for above-ground biomass or tree carbon

  • A solution that works in every environment without pilot calibration

Numbers are spatial validation averages. Not a per-region guarantee.

Who It's For

Carbon Project Developers — baseline estimation and cost-effective MRV

  • Agribusinesses — soil health monitoring

  • Sustainability Teams — Scope 3 reporting

  • Farmers and Land Managers — soil carbon screening

  • Researchers — preliminary soil carbon analysis

Pricing

Pilot Offer — $999

3 locations, 30 days.

100% money-back guarantee if not satisfied.

Deliverables: SOC% estimates, carbon credit estimates, baseline report.


Academic / Research — $499

Full code + model + 1 year updates.


Commercial / Business — $1,999

Encrypted code + model + priority support.


Deployment

Docker-based (one-command install)

  • On-premise (data never leaves your server)

  • Compiled application + encrypted model



Try the live demo: varia-carbon.vercel.app

Contact: mah.kzmi21@gmail.com





























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